Backwards thinking

By now, you know me and how I think. It’s a little different in B3-land, as I tend to skew towards prospects, the Minor Leagues and the Draft. Case in point: the MLB Standings. While most would marvel at the Yankees playing .640 ball or the Cardinals closing in on clinching the NL Central, I look at it backwards — or is it upside-down? In any case, when someone asks me, “Who’s No. 1?”, I’m not looking at the best record. Quite the opposite. I’m looking at the worst record, or who’s going to get the No. 1 pick in the 2010 Draft.

So I’ve got a little spreadsheet going with the “reverse standings” on it. I’ve decided to share it with you. Keep in mind that I haven’t bothered to figure out tiebreakers yet for teams with the same record (didn’t seem worth it with a few weeks in the season left). I am also aware that free agent signings will wreak some havoc with the second half of the first round. It also doesn’t include the compensation picks for the Texas Rangers (14a) and Tampa Bay Rays (30a) for not signing their respective 2009 first-round picks. This is what it looks like heading into today’s games. Unless there’s a surge in the nation’s capital and/or a collapse in KC, it’s looking like the Nats will get the top pick for the second year in a row:

Team W L PCT GA
1  Washington  47 90 0.343
2  Kansas
City 
52 85 0.380 5
3  Pittsburgh  54 82 0.397 7.5
4  Baltimore  54 79 0.409 9
5  San Diego  61 78 0.439 13
6  Arizona  61 78 0.439 13
7  Cleveland  60 76 0.441 13.5
8  Oakland  61 76 0.445 14
9  Toronto  61 76 0.445 14
10  NY Mets 62 75 0.453 15
11  Cincinnati  63 74 0.460 16
12  Milwaukee  66 71 0.482 19
13  Houston  67 70 0.489 20
    14  Chi Sox 69 70 0.496 21
15  Minnesota  69 68 0.504 22
16  Chi Cubs 69 67 0.507 22.5
17  Atlanta  70 67 0.511 23
18  Seattle  72 66 0.522 24.5
19  Tampa Bay  72 66 0.522 24.5
20  Florida  72 65 0.526 25
21  Detroit  75 61 0.551 28.5
22  San
Francisco 
76 62 0.551 28.5
23  Texas  76 60 0.559 29.5
24  Colorado  78 60 0.565 30.5
25  Philadelphia  77 58 0.570 31
26  Boston  79 58 0.577 32
27  St. Louis  82 57 0.590 34
28  LA Dodgers 82 57 0.590 34
29  LA Angels 81 55 0.596 34.5
30  NY Yankees 89 50 0.640 41

2 Comments

The Nats hold the tiebreaker with every team givent hey had the worst record in 2008.

Their Tragic Number with the Royals is currently at 20. Any combination of Royals wins & Nats losses that total 20 means the Nats again pick #1 overall.

As of today, there 17 teams with a chance at the #1 overall pick, but Atlanta, Minnesota, both Chicago teams, Houston and Milwaukee are hanging on by a thread.

I don’t know if you read Andy Seiler’s blog, but he updates a projected draft order for next year, complete with tiebreakers and compensation picks, every few days. Here’s the most recent one:

http://mlbbonusbaby.com/2009/09/07/2010-draft-order-updated-thru-september-6/

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

Follow

Get every new post delivered to your Inbox.

Join 38,137 other followers

%d bloggers like this: