September 2012

Bundy Baltimore Bound

OK, so maybe he’s Seattle-bound, but that didn’t work as well alliteration-wise.

After previous comments saying they would not call up their 2011 first-round pick, the Orioles did just that today. Dylan Bundy is headed to the big leagues. The teenager, who was taken No. 4 overall in the 2011 Draft, last pitched on Sept. 5, a victory in Game 1 of the Eastern League playoffs.

If only someone, back at the time rosters expanded, say… Aug. 31, had encouraged the Orioles to bring Bundy up, thinking he could help out of the bullpen down the stretch, at the very least. A prospect expert of some sort maybe… hmmmm

Just sayin…

Final Top Prospect Transaction Report?

Slowing down, obviously, but a few good names getting promoted for the first time:

 

Edwar Cabrera (COL, No. 10): Called up for the third time this year.

Wilmer Font (TEX, No. 6): Called up for the first time.

Justin Grimm (TEX, No. 10): Called up for the second time this year.

Jhan Marinez (CWS, No. 13): Called up for the second time this year.

Jake Odorizzi (KC, No. 3): Called up for the first time.

Zach Putnam (COL, No. 15): Called up for the third time this year.

L.J. Hoes (BAL, No. 13): Called up to the Majors for the first time.

Comparing farm systems via Prospect Points

At the start of the week, I posted something here that went into more detail about the Prospect Points standings that appeared with the story breaking down the new Top 100 list on Prospect Watch. Someone asked me (thank you  Jayne from the Astros blog, What the Heck, Bobby?  and on Twitter at @whattheheck57, not to mention a contributor to the MLBlog, The Futurists) how these end-of-season standings compared to what they looked like when the 2012 season began.

A fine question indeed. Obviously, Jayne wanted to see how the Astros had fared following all their wheelings and dealings. Fans of other teams might be interested for the same reason, as well as to see how graduations and, of course, performance in 2012, changed their standing. The Prospect Points, remember, don’t measure overall organizational strength, but rather how a team is doing in terms of elite, impact type prospects in their system by using a weighted scoring (100 points for the No. 1 prospect in the Top 100 and on down.)

Here’s the comparison:

2012 Preseason 2012 Re-ranked
Rank Team # Points Rank Team # Points
5 ARI 3 253 3 ARI 4 321
4 ATL 5 267 15 ATL 3 183
12 BAL 2 186 8 BAL 3 234
21 BOS 4 115 9 BOS 5 225
15 CHC 3 171 13 CHC 5 202
19 CIN 2 154 16 CIN 4 182
27 CLE 1 69 23 CLE 1 87
8 COL 4 229 22 COL 2 87
30 CWS 1 1 30 CWS 0 0
18 DET 3 155 21 DET 1 90
22 HOU 3 114 12 HOU 5 216
2 KC 4 290 6 KC 4 277
14 LAA 3 178 27 LAA 1 48
23 LAD 3 109 25 LAD 1 52
26 MIA 2 80 10 MIA 3 222
28 MIL 2 56 26 MIL 2 51
24 MIN 2 107 14 MIN 4 198
20 NYM 3 147 17 NYM 2 170
9 NYY 4 225 18 NYY 4 152
13 OAK 6 179 24 OAK 4 56
25 PHI 3 91 29 PHI 1 18
3 PIT 4 276 2 PIT 6 326
6 SD 6 237 11 SD 6 221
1 SEA 5 329 1 SEA 5 327
29 SF 2 56 28 SF 2 22
17 STL 2 167 4 STL 5 320
11 TB 6 198 20 TB 3 108
7 TEX 4 236 7 TEX 4 240
16 TOR 4 169 5 TOR 7 281
10 WAS 4 206 19 WAS 3 134

And here’s the breakdown of the differential, in alphabetical order:

Team Diff.
ARI 68
ATL -84
BAL 48
BOS 110
CHC 31
CIN 28
CLE 18
COL -142
CWS -1
DET -65
HOU 102
KC -13
LAA -130
LAD -57
MIA 142
MIL -5
MIN 91
NYM 23
NYY -73
OAK -123
PHI -73
PIT 50
SD -16
SEA -2
SF -34
STL 153
TB -90
TEX 4
TOR 112
WAS -72

 

 

Top Prospect Transaction Report

September callups aplenty…..

 

Adam Eaton, (ARI, No. 6) Made his Major League debut on September 4.

Andrelton Simmons, (ATL, No. 2) He returned to action in the big leagues on September 10.

Julio Teheran, (ATL, No. 1) Called up again for the first time this season.

Xavier Avery, (BAL, No. 6): Called up for the fourth time this year.

Chris Carpenter, (BOS, No. 20): Called up, after returning from elbow surgery in July and dominating hitters in Triple-A.

J.C. Linares, (BOS, No 18) Returned after missing some time with a finger injury.

Tony Cingrani, (CIN, No. 3) Called up to join the Reds bullpen.

DiDi Gregorius, (CIN, No. 5) Called up to the Majors when rosters expanded in September.”

Henry Rodriguez, (CIN, No. 16) Called up in September when rosters expanded.

Scott Barnes, (CLE, No. 4) Called up for the fourth time this year.

Kyle Parker, (COL, No. 7) Was set to play in the Arizona Fall League until a thumb injury knocked him out for the rest of the year.

Avisail Garcia, (DET, No. 4) Made his Major League debut on August 31.”

Luke Putkonen, (DET, No. 20) Called up for the third time this year.

Jonathan Villar, (HOU, No. 16) Returned to action on September 6 after a broken hand sidelined him in mid-July.

David Lough, (KC, No. 20) Made his Major League debut on September 1.

Nick Maronde, (LAA, No. 4) Called to the Majors in September, after starting the year with Class A Advanced Inland Empire.

Andrew Romine, (LAA, No. 8) Called up for the fourth time this year.

Alex Castellanos, (LAD, No. 10) Called up for the second time this year.

Tim Federowicz, (LAD, No. 11) Called up for his second straight September in the big leagues.

Josh Wall, (LAD, No. 13) Called up for the second time this year.

Chris Withrow, (LAD, No. 6) A shoulder injury ended his season early.

Wily Peralta, (MIL, No. 5) Called up for the second time this year.

Logan Schafer, (MIL, No. 9) Called up for the first time.

Tyler Thornburg, (MIL, No. 2) Called up for the third time this year.

Jeurys Familia, (NYM, No. 3) Made his debut on September 4.

Adam Warren, (NYY, No. 11) Called up for the second time this year.

Brad Peacock, (OAK, No. 6) Returned to action after taking a line drive off the elbow.

Justin De Fratus, (PHI, No. 13) Called up for his second September stint in the big leagues.

Darin Ruf, (PHI, No. 20) Called up for the first time.

Brock Holt, (PIT, No. 19) Called up for the first time.

Jeff Locke, (PIT, No. 8) Called up for the second time.

Starling Marte, (PIT, No. 3) Returned to the Pirates on September 7 after missing time with a strained oblique.

Kyle McPherson, (PIT, No. 10) Called up for the second time this year.

Bryan Morris, (PIT, No. 13) Called up for the second time this year (although he didn’t make an appearance in his first stint in the Majors).

Justin Wilson, (PIT, No. 9) Called up again, after briefly returning to Triple-A

Johermyn Chavez, (SEA, NO. 19) Outrighted to Double-A Jackson on September 7.

Chris Archer, (TB, No. 3) Called up for the second time this year.

Martin Perez, (TEX, No. 3) Called up for the third time this year.

Anthony Gose, (TOR, No. 3) Called up for the second time this year.

Sandy Leon, (WSH, No. 15) Called up for the third time this year.

Eury Perez, (WSH, No. 7) Called up for the first time, mainly to be a pinch runner.

Making sense of the Prospect Points Standings

By now, most of you have digested, debated and disputed (the “Three D’s of Prospect Rankings) the newly re-ranked Top 100 Prospects list. You’ve also likely taken a look at your team’s Top 20. But I’m writing today mostly because there does seem to be interest in part of the breakdown story I wrote regarding the “team competition.”

We realized a while ago that just noting who had the most number of players in the Top 100 wasn’t really a robust measure. So we tried to come up with a weighted measurement. As I wrote in the story:

“Does having the most prospects give you the best system? Not necessarily. Presence on a Top 100 list doesn’t speak to depth in a system or where talent is on the organizational ladder. But what if a weighted score was devised so as to look at which system had the most impact or elite talent?

Giving 100 points to the team with the No. 1 prospect, 99 to the team with No. 2 and on down, it turned out it wasn’t the teams with the six or seven names on the list that ranked at the top.”

With that section was a box of the top 10 teams according to these Prospect Points. While the Blue Jays lead all organizations with seven players currently on the list, they actually came in fifth. Here’s the box from the story.

Giving 100 points to the team with the No. 1 prospect, 99 to the team with No. 2 and on down, below are the top 10 teams in terms of “prospect points.”
Preseason Re-ranked
Team Points (*) Team Points (*)
SEA 329 (5) SEA 327 (5)
KC 290 (4) PIT 326 (6)
PIT 276 (4) ARI 321 (4)
ATL 267 (5) STL 320 (5)
ARI 253 (3) TOR 281 (7)
SD 237 (6) KC 277 (4)
TEX 236 (4) TEX 240 (4)
COL 229 (4) BAL 234 (3)
NYY 225 (4) BOS 225 (5)
WAS 206 (4) MIA 222 (3)

*The number in parentheses is the number of Top 100 Prospects the team has.

This has led to two things: 1) People thinking that this was an overall strength of organization ranking. And 2) People wanting to know about all 30 organizations and where they stood.

Let’s start with the first one. While this weighted system is better than just a count of which teams have how many, it’s not really meant to be an organizational strength ranking. It’s a ranking of which teams have the most impact/elite talent in their system currently. Getting more points for having players high up in the top 100 accomplishes that. But there are teams who would argue, rightfully perhaps, that just because they don’t have many players on the list, or many players at the top, that their farm systems are plenty strong.

The extreme example of this is the Chicago White Sox, the only team without a player on the Top 100 currently. The White Sox’s system has been much maligned in recent years for the lack of impact talent, but it’s hard to argue with success. Sure, they’ve made some free agent acquisitions and trades, but their current roster has a lot of homegrown talent on it. And they currently sit atop the AL Central.

So, when perusing the standings for all 30 teams below (answering No. 2), keep in mind that it doesn’t automatically mean that the Mariners have the best farm system in baseball and the White Sox have the worst. It’s just that as of this writing, the Mariners have more impact talent on the farm than others.

Feel free to digest, debate and dispute. (Many thanks to chart and excel spreadsheet guru Jason Ratliff for help with these).

Rank Team # Points
1 SEA 5 327
2 PIT 6 326
3 ARI 4 321
4 STL 5 320
5 TOR 7 281
6 KC 4 277
7 TEX 4 240
8 BAL 3 234
9 BOS 5 225
10 MIA 3 222
11 SD 6 221
12 HOU 5 216
13 CHC 5 202
14 MIN 4 198
15 ATL 3 183
16 CIN 4 182
17 NYM 2 170
18 NYY 4 152
19 WAS 3 134
20 TB 3 108
21 DET 1 90
22 COL 2 87
23 CLE 1 87
24 OAK 4 56
25 LAD 1 52
26 MIL 2 51
27 LAA 1 48
28 SF 2 22
29 PHI 1 18
30 CWS 0 0
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