The Top 100 season is more or less behind us, with most everyone having put out their version of the list. Some have even put out some version of what I’m going to list below, which is a composite list, smooshing together all of the lists to come up with a consensus ranking.
There are so many lists out there these days, but I’ve decided to limit the uber-100 (plus) to five lists: Ours at MLBPipeline.com (duh); Baseball America; Keith Law at ESPN (subscription needed); Baseball Prospectus, courtesy of Jason Parks; and FanGraphs, from Marc Hulet.
Rather than assign points, I used an average ranking. Anyone not on a list got a 101 ranking.
- 70 players appeared on all 5 lists. Another 11 appeared on 4 of the 5, 18 were on 3 of the 5.
- I did not include the three guys on BA’s list who aren’t eligible for ours (Masahiro Tanaka, Josey Abreu, Carlos Martinez), there were 135 total prospects mentioned on a list somewhere.
- The biggest differences in our list from average, in terms of us having a guy higher on the list than the average: Allen Webster (+41.4), Lance McCullers Jr (+34.4) and Jake Odorizzi (+24)
- The biggest differences between us and the average, with us having a guy lower down on our list: Matt Wisler (-28.2), J.P. Crawford (-25.8) and Braden Shipley (-25).
- There was unanimity only on the top two guys, Byron Buxton and Xander Bogaerts. Four of the five lists had Oscar Taveras at No. 3. The first 62 names did appear on all five rankings.
Food for thought. The list is 135 deep, and I didn’t do anything in particular to break ties. Here it is:
|32||Raul Adalberto Mondesi||SS||KC||36.40||5|
|84||Lance McCullers Jr.||RHP||HOU||86.40||2|
|93||Delino DeShields Jr.||OF||HOU||89.80||2|
|110||Chi Chi Gonzalez||RHP||TEX||94.80||1|
The college baseball season got underway last weekend and even though weather wreaked some havoc, there were enough names from our Draft Top 50 (from the fall) who did get to play. A quick rundown of who did what over the weekend, in order of where they are ranked on the Top 50 (hopefully this will become a regular feature):
1. Carlos Rodon, LHP, NC State: 6 IP, 4 H, 3 R, 1 ER, 1 BB, 6 K, L vs. Canisius
2. Jeff Hoffman, RHP, East Carolina: 6 IP, 4 H, 4 R, 3 ER, 2 BB, 6 K, ND vs. James Madison
4. Trea Turner, SS, NC State: 3-4, SB vs. Canisius
6. Tyler Beede, RHP, Vanderbilt: 5 IP, 1 H, 1 R, 0 ER, 1 BB, 7 K, W @ Long Beach State
11. Aaron Nola, RHP, LSU: 6 IP, 4 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 0 BB, 6 K, W vs. New Orleans
14. Kyle Schwarber, C, Indiana: 3-for-15, 1 2B, 1 BB, 1 K @ Texas Tech
15. Derek Fisher, OF, Virginia: 5-for-11, 5 R, 3 RBI, 1 2B, 1 3B, 1 BB, 2 K @ Hughes Brothers Challenge
17. Sean Newcomb, LHP, Hartford: Did not play
19. Bradley Zimmer, OF, San Francisco: 6-for-12, 3 R, 2 2B, 1 SB, 2 BB, 1 K @ UC Riverside
20. Max Pentecost, C, Kennesaw State: 8-for-13, 4 R, 2 RBI, 3 2B, 2 BB vs. Middle Tenn. State
21. Brandon Finnegan, LHP, TCU: 7 IP, 3 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 3 BB, 13 K, W vs. Jacksonville
22. Erick Fedde, RHP, UNLV: 7.1 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 0 BB, 11 K, W vs. Central Michigan
23. Luke Weaver, RHP, Florda St.: 6 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 1 BB, 7 K, W vs. Niagara
24. Kyle Freeland, LHP, Evansville: 5 IP, 5 H, 2 R, 2 ER, 0 BB, 6 K, W @ Lipscomb
27. Michael Cederoth, RHP, San Diego St.: 3.2 IP, 3 H, 5 R, 3 ER, 4 BB, 6 K, L @ San Jose St.
28. Michael Conforto, OF, Oregon St.: 5-for-10, 5 R, 8 RBIs, 1 2B, 4 BB @Husker Classic
30. Matt Chapman, 3B, Fullerton: 4-for-13, 2 R, 3 BB, 3 K, 1 2B vs. Washington St.
33. Nick Burdi, RHP, Louisville: 1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 1 BB, 1 K, W @Homewood Suites Tournament
36. Dylan Davis, OF, Oregon St.: 4-for-12, 1 R, 5 RBI, 1 @B, 2 BB, 3 K @Husker Classic
45. J.D. Davis, OF/RHP , Fullerton: 5-13, 4 R, 2 RBI, 2 BB, 3 K, 1 2B, 2 3B, 1 HR; 1 IP ,1 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 0 K, W, vs. Washington St.
Some feedback from scouts:
- Two mentioned Erick Fedde’s performance against Central Michigan as being impressive (and thought Jordan Foley from Central Michigan was pretty good, though he’s more of a 2nd-3rd round type).
- While Luke Weaver’s numbers looked good agaist Niagara, one scout thought he was just so-so. Weaver pitched at 90-91 with a short slider and a decent changeup.
Yes, you heard me. You might be reading this while looking out at snow and ice, but not only are pitchers and catchers reporting to Spring Training, but the amateur season has started in some of the warm weather areas.
Over the past week or so, I’ve been starting to get some info from scouts who are already hitting the road and making sure they’re seeing as many players as they can between now and the Draft. And I’ll try to relay any pertinent information when I can, hopefully in a slightly more timely fashion. But I do have reports on early outings from a pair of intriguing high school arms.
Sean Reid-Foley, ranked No. 31 in the Draft Top 50 we released last fall, made his first outing recently in Florida at his Sandalwood High School’s kickoff tournament. The right-hander wasn’t really sharp, but that’s not so surprising given how early it is. For his first outing of the year, he was still fairly efficient, throwing his fastball 90-94 mph while also using an 82-87 mph slider and 82-85 mph changeup throughout his three innings.
Heading way out west, Kodi Medeiros also got a lot of early attention for his first outing. Several scouting directors made the trip out to Hawaii (who wouldn’t?) to watch the lefty ranked No. 25 on that Top 50). He didn’t disappoint, striking out seven in 2 2/3 innings. His fastball sat in the 92-94 mph range with good arm side life and his slider was really tough to hit, a 79-81 sweeping breaking ball.
Obviously, it’s early and there’s much, much more to come. But I thought this might whet the appetites of the Draft fans out there.
Our most recent Pipeline Perspectives is up on the MLBPipeline.com now. Jim Callis and I debate which teams have the best trio of prospects in the game. I went for the Cubs combination of Javier Baez, Kris Bryant and Albert Almora. Jim advocated for the Twins trio of Byron Buxton, Miguel Sano and Alex Meyer.
As we’ve tried to get in the habit of doing, both of us are blogging about the subject as well. Jim ranked his favorites. By now, you know me… I like using our Prospect Points system to see how things shake out. So I took the top trio from every organization that had three or more prospects in the Top 100 (the Red Sox could have had three trios, for example, but I only took one) and ranked them using our points system. A quick refresher: 100 points for the No. 1 prospect, 99 for No. 2, all the way down to one point for the last prospect in the Top 100. Here’s what the “standings” look like:
|1||Byron Buxton, Miguel Sano, Alex Meyer||MIN||270|
|2||Javier Baez, Kris Bryant, Albert Almora||CHC||269|
|3||Carlos Correa, Mark Appel, George Springer||HOU||257|
|4||Gregory Polanco, Jameson Taillon, Tyler Glasnow||PIT||247|
|5||Xander Bogaerts, Henry Owens, Jackie Bradley||BOS||238|
|6||Kyle Zimmer, Yordano Ventura, Raul Alberto Mondesi||KC||205|
|7||Noah Syndergaard, Travis d’Arnaud, Rafael Montero||NYM||185|
|8||Dylan Bundy, Kevin Gausman, Eduardo Rodriguez||BAL||184|
|9||Jonathan Gray, Eddie Butler, David Dahl||COL||177|
|10||Francisco Lindor, Clint Frazier, Trevor Bauer||CLE||172|
|11||Corey Seager, Joc Pederson, Zach Lee||LAD||170|
|12||Andrew Heaney, Colin Moran, Jake Marisnick||MIA||158|
|13||Austin Hedges, Max Fried, Matt Wisler||SD||158|
|14||Oscar Taveras, Kolten Wong, Stephen Piscotty||STL||144|
|15||Archie Bradley, Chris Owings, Braden Shipley||ARI||142|
|16||Jorge Alfaro, Rougned Odor, Michael Choice||TEX||133|
|17||Aaron Sanchez, Marcus Stroman, Roberto Osuna||TOR||132|
|18||Jake Odorizzi, Hak-Ju Lee, Taylor Guerrieri||TB||69|
In today’s MLBPipeline Perspectives, Jim Callis and I debated which teams we thought had the best pitching prospects tandem in baseball. Jim went with Jon Gray and Eddie Butler of the Rockies. I opted for the right-handed combo of Jameson Taillon and Tyler Glasnow from the Pirates.
Jim went on to blog his rankings for the top pitching prospect duos in the game over on Callis’ Corner. I must admit I’m a bit dismayed he put my Taillon-Glasnow third on his list, but I’ll get over it.
To extract some measure of revenge, however, I wanted to provide my own rankings, of a sort. I used it in my argument in picking Taillon and Glasnow: the Prospect Points. That’s the system we used to provide an organizational standings from the Top 100 list. I used the same idea — 100 points for the No.1 prospect, 99 for No. 2 (Jon Gray gets 87 points for being No. 14, as a result)., etc. Using this system, here’s how the top tandems in the Top 100 (only one pairing for an organization listed eve if they have more than two pitchers in the Top 100) stack up:
1. Taillon and Glasnow, Pirates: 165 points. I rest my case.
2. Dylan Bundy and Kevin Gausman, Orioles: 159 points. Jim’s not the only one who can put the O’s No. 2.
3. Gray and Butler, Rockies: 147 points. A distant third.
4. Kyle Zimmer and Yordano Ventura, Royals: 142 points. A lot of power coming towards KC.
5. Alex Meyer and Kohl Stewart, Twins: 134 points. Stewart’s development could raise their stock.
6. Mark Appel and Lance McCullers Jr.: 133 points. Even if McCullers ends up a reliever, this is a good tandem.
7. Henry Owens and Allen Webster, Red Sox: 126. First lefty mentioned on this list.
8. Aaron Sanchez and Marcus Stroman, Blue Jays: 124. If you told me this duo would outperform some ahead, I wouldn’t argue.
9. Archie Bradley and Braden Shipley, D-backs: 118. Shipley is one of my picks for guys in the 51-100 range who could jump up the list in his first full seaosn.
10. Noah Syndergaard and Rafael Montero, Mets: 106. Music to Mets fans ears as both are close to contributing in New York.
11. Andrew Heaney and Justin Nicolino, Marlins: 92. The only double-lefty combo; both could be established in Miami’s rotation by 2015.
12. Lucas Giolito and A.J. Cole, Nationals: 89. I’d keep an eye on this pair, they could move up this ranking in a hurry.
13. Max Fried and Matt Wisler, Padres: 81. I think Fried could establish himself as top lefty by end of year.
14. Kyle Crick and Edwin Escobar, Giants: 75. Interesting combination of power (Crick) and more pitchability (Escobar).
15. Zach Lee and Julio Urias, Dodgers: 75. Urias is so young, but if the lefty keeps doing what he’s done so far, he’ll move up quickly.
16. C.J. Edwards and Pierce Johnson, Cubs: 60. Chicago known more for its hitting prospects right now, but this is still a solid duo.
17. Jake Odorizzi and Taylor Guerrieri, Rays: 52. Guerrieri’s suspension and injury hurt their standing.