Results tagged ‘ top prospects ’
As most of you hopefully know, we released the MLBPipeline.com Top 100 Prospects list on Thursday night. Check it out, peruse it, pick it apart, if you haven’t already done so.
As is always the case, a number of players don’t make it that you could make a case for inclusion. And then there are some you may feel you like, or want to see what they do this year (having the potential to jump onto the list). Jim Callis has created his own list over at Callis’ Corner. I’m going to do the same (without looking at his first).
Keep in mind, this should not be regarded as a ranking for 101-115. It’s really more of a “guys I like” list (lots o’ 2013 draftees) — many of them could end up in the Top 100 as others graduate out, but this certainly isn’t a guarantee of who’s next.
J.P. Crawford, SS, Phillies: The Phillies’ top pick at No. 16 overall, if Crawford goes out this year and shows he can hit like he did in his pro debut, he’ll make believers out of all who weren’t 100 percent sure about the bat.
Rafael De Paula, RHP, Yankees: Just missed the cut of this year’s Top 100, has gotten past all the identity nonsense, missed a ton of bats in 2013. He has the chance to have three average or better pitches and could start moving fast.
Hunter Dozier, 3B, Royals: I know what you’re thinking: I’m doing this just to get back in the good graces of the Royals after many felt I buried this pick at the Draft. Not so (well, not entirely). He had a terrific debut with the bat and should hit for average and power while playing a solid third base.
Marco Gonzales, LHP, Cardinals: The No. 19 pick in last year’s Draft, not only is the Gonzaga product as media savvy as they come, he has the kind of feel for pitching (especially since he’s not hitting anymore) that could allow him to move quickly to St. Louis.
Brian Goodwin, OF, Nationals: I’m a sucker for toolsy outfielders (as you’ll see). I will say this, though: It’s time for him to start matching performance with his raw tools. The clock is ticking.
Courtney Hawkins, OF, White Sox: Toolsy, outfielder, see? After a tremendous summer debut post Draft backflip, a lot went wrong for Hawkins in 2013, though Chicago aggressively pushed him to the Carolina League. I think he bounces back in 2014 and shows why he was worthy of going No. 13 overall in 2012.
Nick Kingham, RHP, Pirates: More good news for the Pirates. He’s a big, strong right-hander who reached Double-A in 2013 (meaning he could be ready to contribute this season) while finishing second in the system in strikeouts, fourth in ERA, third in WHIP and second in batting average against.
Reese McGuire, C, Pirates: Fellow high school first-round pick by the Pirates Austin Meadows made the Top 100, but McGuire isn’t far behind. Good chance to be an excellent all-around receiver; can’t wait to see how he follows up on his stirring pro debut.
Dorssys Paulino, SS, Indians: Paulino cracked the Top 100 late last year, just missed (in my opinion) this time around. He’ll play all of 2014 at age 19. He might end up at 2B, but he could be a good one there.
Anthony Ranaudo, RHP, Red Sox: Just what we need, another Red Sox prospect, right? Ranaudo had a terrific 2013 and should be ready to contribute in the big leagues this year. He might be one of those guys who never is valued that highly on lists, but who goes on to be very productive as a Major Leaguer.
Hunter Renfroe, OF, Padres: I liked him as a rare toolsy college guy in the 2013 Draft. I’m very curious to see how he adjusts to more advanced pitching over the course of his first full season. But the tools are all there for him to be an exciting player to watch.
Marcus Semien, INF, White Sox: This isn’t a result of this tweet, which led to a longer back-and-forth:
While I still like Wong more, I do like Semien. Some power, some speed, has shown an ability to play three infield positions. And he’s going to help in Chicago this year.
Dom Smith, 1B, Mets: I think we got more questions about his proximity to the Top 100 than anyone else. The No. 11 pick in last year’s Draft had a solid pro debut and most feel the first baseman is going to hit. If he does as expected, look for him to be the next 1B to hit the Top 100.
Bubba Starling, OF, Royals: Even though he fell off the Top 100, I’m not ready to give up on him yet. He’s still only 21 and he has a ton of raw tools. He’s going to have to show he can hit advanced pitching, but I’m not going to throw in the towel just yet.
Jesse Winker, OF, Reds: This guy just hits. Period. He has the chance to be a batting leaders type of hitter with some pop and run-producing ability. His bat + the California League could equal big numbers, and I could see him finishing the year in Double-A.
The first month of the season is in the books, so it’s time to take a look at which prospects performed the best over the opening weeks of the season. Small sample size? Sure, but it’s fun to see who broke out of the gates well among the prospects on the Top 100 list.
Hitters (It’s good to be a Twins fan)
Byron Buxton, Twins (No. 19 overall, No. 2 on Twins Top 20) — 1.194
Miguel Sano, Twins (No. 12 overall, No. 1 on Twins Top 20) — 1.183
Nick Franklin, Mariners (No. 45 overall, No. 4 on Mariners Top 20) — 1.1161
Nolan Arenado, Rockies (No. 60 overall, No. 2 on Rockies Top 20) — 1.059
George Springer, Astros (No. 55 overall, No. 3 on Astros Top 20) — 1.056
Sano — 9
Springer — 8
Courtney Hawkins, White Sox (No. 65 overall, No. 1 on White Sox Top 20) — 7
Joc Pederson, Dodgers (No. 81 overall, No. 3 on Dodgers Top 20) — 6
Javier Baez, Cubs (No. 16 overall, No. 1 on Cubs Top 20) — 5
Mike Zunino, Mariners (No. 23 overall, No. 3 on Mariners Top 20) — 26
Sano — 24
Arenado — 21
Buxton — 21
Springer — 20
Billy Hamilton, Reds (No. 11 overall, No. 1 on Reds Top 20) — 15
Buxton — 9
Gregory Polanco, Pirates (No. 62 overall, No. 4 on Pirates Top 20) — 9
Luis Sardinas, Rangers (No. 80 overall, No. 3 on Rangers Top 20) — 8
Francisco Lindor, Indians (No. 14 overall, No. 1 on Indians Top 20) — 7
Pederson — 7
Archie Bradley, Diamondbacks (No. 24 overall, No. 2 on D-backs Top 20) — 1.26
Taijuan Walker, Mariners (No. 5 overall, No. 1 on Mariners Top 20) — 1.55
Jesse Biddle, Phillies (No. 58 overall, No. 1 on Phillies Top 20) — 1.74
Michael Wacha, Cardinals (No. 79 overall, No. 5 on Cardinals Top 20) — 1.86
Gerrit Cole, Pirates (No. 9 overall, No. 1 on Pirates Top 20) — 2.32
A Bradley — 43
Biddle — 40
Jake Odorizzi, Rays (No. 43 overall, No. 3 on Rays Top 20)– 36
Zack Wheeler, Mets (No. 8 overall, No. 2 on Mets Top 20)– 36
Chris Archer, Rays — 35 (No. 44 overall, No. 4 on Rays Top 20) — 35
Batting average against
Greetings all prospect fans. I’ve been using this space to run down top performances by our top prospects. Typically, that’s meant the Top 100.
Today, I’m going to expand it a bit, taking a look at the week that was (April 8-14) and who excelled across not just the Top 100, but the Top 20s for each team as well. Always remember to check out for news/updates on your favorite prospects over on MLBPipeline.com.
First, the hitters (rank by OPS for the week in parentheses). It was a good week in the Rockies system.
Rosell Herrera, SS/3B, No. 12 Rockies prospect (5th): 1.538 OPS
Andrew Susac, C, No. 16 Giants prospect (9th): 1.438 OPS
Charlie Culberson, 2B, No. 14 Rockies prospect (12th): 1.429 OPS
James Ramsey, OF, No. 17 Cardinals prospect (22nd): 1.338 OPS
Corey Dickerson, OF, No. 16 Rockies prospect (26th): 1.318 OPS
Michael Taylor, OF, No. 12 A’s prospect (27th): 1.318 OPS
Jeff Kobernus, 2B/OF, No. 15 Nationals prospect (30th): 1.308
It’s a little tougher with pitching, with no OPS for the week at the ready for them. So I picked out some (definitely not all — I used only guys who gave up no runs of any sort) of the top performers from the week instead.
Archie Bradley, RHP, No. 2 D-backs prospect (No. 24 overall): 6 IP, 3 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 10 K
Aaron Sanchez, RHP, No. 1 Blue Jays prospect (No. 35 overall): 5 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 2 BB, 3 K
Taylor Guerrieri, RHP, No. 2 Rays prospect (No. 44 overall): 7 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 5 K
Max Fried, LHP, No. 2 Padres prospect (No. 53 overall): 5 IP, 3 H, 0 R, 2 BB, 8 K
Yordano Ventura, RHP, No. 3 Royals prospect (No. 59 overall): 5 IP, 3 H, 0 R, 3 BB, 7 K
Tony Cingrani, LHP, No. 3 Reds prospect (No. 66 overall): 8.1 IP, 3 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 12 K
Jarred Cosart, RHP, No. 4 Astros prospect (No. 88 overall): 5 IP 1 H, 0 R, 3 BB, 7 K
Erik Johnson, RHP, No. 3 White Sox prospect: 7 IP, 3 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 6 K
Adam Morgan, LHP, No. 7 Phillies prospect: 8 IP, 3 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 4 K
John Gast, LHP, No. 10 Cardinals prospect: 6 IP, 4 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 5 K
Alex Colome, LHP, No. 12 Rays prospect: 6 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 2 BB, 7 K
Sam Selman, LHP, No. 12 Royals prospect: 5 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 2 BB, 4 K
Luke Jackson, RHP, No. 13 Rangers prospect: 5 IP, 3 H, 0 R, 2 BB, 7 K
Austin Wood, RHP, No. 14 Angels prospect: 6 IP, 4 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 5 K
Asher Wojciechowski, RHP, No. 15 Astros prospect: 9 IP, 1 H, o R, 3 BB, 7 K
Back in February, I posted a conglomorate Top 100 that averaged out the Top 100 prospects lists from Baseball America, Keith Law at ESPN and yours truly.
Ready for some more? It would be easy to go crazy with including lists, but I don’t want to water it down too much. Besides, the names are more or less the names. But to pad it out a bit, I’ve added in two more Top 100 lists: Baseball Prospectus and FanGraphs.
I’m not going to get into deep analysis here in terms of names on those lists not on others, etc., but simply wanted to post the ranked (by average) list. There are 133 names on it now and Jurickson Profar is still the unanimous No. 1. Here’s the list (remember, any player not on a specific top 100 got a ranking of 101 for the sake of averaging):
By now many top prospect lists are out there. And while I’m confident in my abilities as a prospect reporter and feel that MLB.com’s Top 100 is pretty darn good, I also don’t pretend to think that it’s the only list worth looking at.
I like to comparison shop, too, and see what other people are doing. Such an exercise could go on endlessly as it seems more and more Top 100 type lists are popping up all over the interwebs. For the purposes of this post, I’m taking MLB.com’s, Keith Law’s at ESPN and, of course, Baseball America’s. (Warning: You’ll need subscriptions to access some of that stuff). Now, before you get all miffed that I didn’t include one list or another — this isn’t meant as a slight towards anyone’s list. These are simply the other two lists that I, personally, look forward to seeing the most each year and I like to see how we compare. I’ve dumped the rankings into a spreadsheet and came up with an average rank for each player that we’ve listed. For any player that wasn’t listed in one of the top 100 lists, I gave him a 101 ranking for that list. Make sense?
Before I get to the averages, a couple of notes:
- A total of 78 players appeared on all three Top 100s. Shows you we’re all dealing with the same names, more or less.
- Including the threepeats mentioned above, 95 total players were mentioned on two of the three lists.
- A grand total of 121 players appeared on at least one list.
- The highest ranking player on the MLB.com list not to appear on all three is Rymer Liriano of the Padres. The highest player on Keith Law’s list not to appear on all three is Corey Seager of the Dodgers. Andrew Heaney of the Marlins is the first player on the BA list not to appear on all three.
- The first player to appear only on MLB.com’s list and not the other two is Ethan Martin of the Phillies. On Keith’s list, it’s Seager. And on the BA list, it’s Lance McCullers.
OK, with that context, here’s how the prospects would rank by their averages (Jurickson Profar is the consensus No. 1):
After any Top 100 prospects list comes out, there’s going to be outrage, disbelief, dismay (there’s also some triumph, jubilation, celebration, but that doesn’t fit into the subject of today’s post). The list gets pored over and complaints about snubs come pouring in. You thought people were upset that Ben Affleck didn’t get a Best Director nod for “Argo”? You should talk to Astros fans about Delino DeShields Jr. Sheesh.
So, I thought it a good idea to throw out a Nos. 101-110 list. Yes, this could open a pandora’s box if guys aren’t on that list who you think should’ve been on the Top 100 to begin with. But I can deal with that. I’m happy to keep the conversation going. And keep in mind, the team Top 20s start rolling out on Monday, so there’ll be more fuel for the fire soon enough. Keep in mind, this next 10 isn’t a guaranteed list of who’ll be the first to move in when guys graduate as 2013 gets started, but clearly some names will come from this list onto the top 100 during the season. No time for expanding on this list, so here it is:
101. Dan Straily, RHP, A’s
102. Delino DeShields Jr., 2B, Astros
103. Luis Heredia, RHP, Pirates
104. Daniel Corcino, RHP, Reds
105. Brett Jackson, OF, Cubs
106. Marcell Ozuna, OF, Marlins
107. Michael Choice, OF, A’s
108. Tyler Thornburg, RHP, Brewers
109. Corey Seager, 3B/SS, Dodgers
110. Arodys Vizcaino, RHP, Cubs
Now that the dust has settled from the Trade Deadline, we can focus on good old fashioned transactions. You know, promotions, demotions, DL moves, activations. Here’s a rundown of the transactions (non-trade) from July 30-Aug. 6.
John Stilson (TOR, No. 19): Placed on the disabled list on July 30.
Miles Head (OAK, No. 19): Placed on the disabled list on July 30 after being hit by a pitch in the head.
Nick Maronde (LAA, No. 4): Promoted to Double-A Arkansas on July 31.
Nick Mutz (LAA, No. 7): Promoted to Class A Cedar Rapids on July 31.
Charles Leesman (CWS, No. 10): Placed on the disabled list on July 31.
Stephen Pryor (SEA, No. 9): Called up to the big leagues again on July 31.
Carter Capps (SEA, No. 8): Got his first Major League callup on July 31.
Moises Sierra (TOR, No. 15): Got his first Major League callup on July 31.
Aaron Sanchez (TOR, No. 7): Placed on the disabled list on July 31.
Cory Spangenberg (SD, No. 5): Returned on July 31 after missing a week with concussion-like symptoms.
Justin Bianco (ARI, No. 17): Sent to the Arizona League on August 1.
John Leonard (ARI, No. 18): Sent to the Arizona League on August 1.
Cesar Hernandez (PHI, No. 16): Promoted to Triple-A Lehigh Valley on August 1.
Sebastian Valle (PHI, No. 8): Promoted to Triple-A Lehigh Valley on August 1.
Blake Swihart (BOS, No. 11): Placed on the disabled list on August 1 with a strained hip flexor.
Alexander Torres (TB, No. 6): Placed on the disabled list on August 1.
Ryan Lavarnway (BOS, No. 3): Called up on August 1 when Daniel Nava was placed on the disabled list.
Kent Matthes (COL, No. 17): Placed on the disabled list on August 1 with a strained oblique.
Patrick Corbin (ARI, No. 8): Called up again on August 2.
Daniel Fields (DET, No. 5): Promoted to Double-A Erie on August 2.
Robbie Erlin (SD, No. 6): Began a rehab assignment on August 2.
Jabari Blash (SEA, No. 12): Returned from the DL on August 2.
Trevor Rosenthal (STL, No. 6): Returned to Triple-A Memphis on August 2 after a stint in the big leagues.
Seth Blair (STL, No. 14): Returned to action on August 2 after spending much of the season on the DL.
Alex Colome (TB, No. 13): Promoted to Triple-A Durham on August 2.
Martin Perez (TEX, No. 2): Sent down again on August 2.
Mike Olt (TEX, No. 3): Made his Major League debut on August 2.
Destin Hood (WSH, No. 6): Placed on the DL again with a groin injury on August 3.
Zach Walters (WSH, No. 12): Promoted to Triple-A Syracuse on August 3.
Yordy Cabrera (OAK, No. 7): Returned from the DL on August 3 after missing time with a lower back injury.
Ryan Wright (CIN, No. 9): Promoted to Class A Advanced Bakersfield on August 3.
Cesar Puello (NYM, No. 5): Returned to action on August 4 after missing a week and a half with a hamstring injury.
Michael Blazek (STL, No. 13): Returned to Double-A Springfield on August 4 after making two appearances in Triple-A.
Zack Wheeler (NYM, No. 1): Promoted to Triple-A Buffalo on August 4.
Adeiny Hechavarria (TOR, No. 12): Called up for the first time on August 4.
Javier Baez (CHC, No. 2): Promoted to Class-A Advanced Daytona on August 4.
Marcus Semien (CWS, No. 9): Returned to action on August 4 after missing time with a knee injury.
Keenyn Walker (CWS, No. 5): Returned to action on August 4 after missing a week with a left shoulder injury.
Tim Federowicz (LAD, No. 12): Called up for the first time on August 4.
Sandy Leon (WSH, No. 19): Returned to the Minors after the Nationals acquired Kurt Suzuki from Oakland.
Derek Norris (OAK, No. 6): Called up for the second time in 2012 after the A’s traded Kurt Suzuki to the Nationals.
Nick Delmonico (BAL, No. 4): Placed on the disabled list for the second time this season with a knee injury on August 5.
A.J. Griffin (OAK, No. 12): Placed on the disabled list on August 5 with a strained right shoulder.
Brett Jackson (CHC, No. 1): Made his Major League debut on August 5.
Josh Vitters (CHC, No. 11): Made his Major League debut on August 5.
Telvin Nash (HOU, No. 14): Returned on August 5 after a DL stint with an ankle injury.
Brandon Short (CWS, No. 18): Returned to the field on August 6 with Class A Advanced Winston-Salem, after missing 5 months with a torn labrum.
Jean Segura (MIL, No. 1): Called up for the second time this year (and first time with the Brewers) on August 6.
Quick turnaround for us here at B3. Home quickly from North Carolina, turn around and head to Kansas City for the All-Star Game festivities (In B3 land, that’s the Futures Game and then that other stuff on Monday and Tuesday).
But I wanted to take a quick minute to provide a top prospects kind of list from the recently completed Prospect Classic, run by USA Baseball. The four-game event was extremely well attended by scouts, with a good amount of high-end talent from the high school and college ranks on the same field at the same time.
Overall, the scouting community has not been overwhelmed to date about the Class of 2013. That’s not to say there’s no talent or that some guys haven’t performed, but the overall evaluation of the group this summer has been so-so, at best. After talking with a few scouts, here are some of the better performers from the Prospect Classic, broken into college and high school groups.
Kris Bryant, 3B, San Diego
Marco Gonzales, LHP/1B, Gonzaga
D.J. Peterson, 1B/OF, New Mexico
Ryne Stanek, RHP, Arkansas
Trea Turner, 2B, NC State (2014)
Bobby Wahl, RHP, Mississippi State
Willie Abreu, OF, Hialeah, Fla.
Cavan Biggio, IF/OF, Houston, Texas
Stephen Gonsalves, LHP, San Marcos, Calif.
Robert Kaminsky, LHP, Englewood Cliffs, N.J.
Christian Martinek, LHP, Portland, Ore. (2014)
If you’ve been over on Prospect Watch the last couple of weeks, I’m hoping you’ll understand why I haven’t been on here in a while. We’ve provided quite a bit of prospect-related content over there:
- Top 10 by position
- Top 100 overall
- Top 20 per organzation
That’s at least 600 player profiles for your perusal. Needless to say, this took a while to put together. It was largely a labor of love (at least that’s what I tell myself). I’d also like to say that every effort like this has unsung heroes, those who do all the heavy lifting but don’t get any credit. For Prospect Watch, that person is Jason Ratliff, who’d likely get annoyed I mentioned him in this capacity. But without him, Prospect Watch doesn’t exist. Plain and simple.
Please look around PW (as we like to call it) and let me know what you like, don’t like, etc. I’ll leave you with 2 questions and with a promise to start blogging more consistently again.
1. Who is the best prospect not listed on a team Top 20? Give a few nominees if you’d like in comments.
2. What else would you like to see on PW? Some things we might have in the works include an international amateur Top 20 and a Draft Top 100… so keep coming back.
Now that Yu Darvish is officially a Ranger (nice job by our intrepid Rangers beat writer T.R. Sullivan on that crazy deadline. Be sure to read his blog, Postcards from Elysian Fields and follow him on Twitter at @Sullivan_Ranger), the question is: How to deal with the Japanese right-hander on the prospect front.
It’s not an easy question to answer. In the past, our requirement was rookie status. If a player was eligible for Rookie of the Year voting, he belonged on a prospect ranking. Last year, for instance, we added Tsuyoshi Nishioka to the Twins’ top 10 after he signed, coming in at No. 7.
Darvish, of course, would rank much higher, both on his new organization’s list and on the overall Top 100 (Coming on Jan. 25 if you hadn’t heard). But here’s the thing. I’ve never been all that comfortable with including a player like Darvish on a prospect list. To me, he’s not a prospect. He’s a big leaguer and already an established star in another high-level league. Deciding on what the line is for rankings is always arbitrary, but I adhered to the (admittedly self-imposed) rookie status rule in the past.
I suppose the argument could be made that since the league Darvish is coming from isn’t at the same level as MLB (most put it at a Triple-A-ish level), he should count the same as, say, Matt Moore, also coming up from Triple-A. I just don’t see it that way and the Rangers didn’t just shell out all that cash to get anything but a finished product who will produce right away.
So, in 2012, we’ve decided to take our cue from the newly bargained CBA, as it pertains to international signings. They put particular rules in place about which international players will fall under the international player pool each team will be allotted. More advanced players like Darvish can be signed in the future without it counting against a team’s pool. Neither, by the way, would Cuban defector Yoenis Cespedes.
If it’s good enough for them, it’s good enough for us. So here’s the new rule as it pertains to such international acquisitions:
Not all international players will qualify for these rankings. Prospect Watch will follow the guidelines laid out by the new CBA: Players in leagues deemed to be professional (Japan, Korea, Taiwan, Cuba) and are at least 23 years old and have played a certain number of years in those leagues will not be considered.
So, Mr. Darvish (and Mr. Cespedes eventually), you might qualify to be ROY, but you won’t show up on Prospect Watch.